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Roger Federer's record so far this year, with rankings of the players he played:
Madrid (1000):
W - Radek Stepanek (48)
L - Kei Nishikori (16)
Indian Wells (1000):
W - Denis Istomin (43), Ivan Dodig (60), Stanislas Wawrinka (18)
L - Rafael Nadal (5)
Dubai (500):
W - Malek Jaziri (128), Marcel Granollers (34), Nikolay Davydenko (46)
L - Tomas Berdych (6)
Rotterdam (500):
W - Grega Zemija (64), Thiemo de Bakker (123)
L - Julien Benneteau (39)
Australian Open (Slam):
W - Benoit Paire (46), N Davydenko (40), B Tomic (43), M Raonic (15), JW Tsonga (8)
L - A Murray (3)
To depict this differently, here is a list of every player he's played in order of their ranking at the time he played them, with losses in bold:
3 Murray
5 Nadal
6 Berdych
8 Tsonga
15 Raonic
16 Nishikori
18 Wawrinka
34 Granollers
39 Benneteau
40, 46 Davydenko
43 Istomin
43 Tomic
46 Paire
48 Stepanek
60 Dodig
64 Zemija
123 Bakker
128 Jaziri
To put all that another way, Roger's record against different ranking ranges:
#1-5: 0-2
#6-10: 1-1
#11-20: 2-1
#21-50: 7-1
#51+: 4-0
Now this isn't a huge sample size but what it leads me to believe is that at least in terms of 2013, Roger is no longer a top 5 player, and his "real" ranking is somewhere in the #6-10 range. Now this may change. Other than Julien Benneteau, who seems to wear "Federer kryptonite," Roger has beaten every player outside of the top 20 - so he's still safely a top 20 caliber player. But I'd really like to see him beat someone other than a coming-back-from-injury Tsonga to call him still an elite player.
You really have to go back to last November to see Federer defeat a true elite player, when he beat Andy Murray in the Word Tour Finals (but was defeated by both del Potro and Djokovic).
Right now Roger's ATP Race Ranking is at #10 - and the above record accurately reflects that. Roger has not played like a true elite player since 2012, and it remains to be seen whether he can recapture anything approach that level. Let us hope!
Madrid (1000):
W - Radek Stepanek (48)
L - Kei Nishikori (16)
Indian Wells (1000):
W - Denis Istomin (43), Ivan Dodig (60), Stanislas Wawrinka (18)
L - Rafael Nadal (5)
Dubai (500):
W - Malek Jaziri (128), Marcel Granollers (34), Nikolay Davydenko (46)
L - Tomas Berdych (6)
Rotterdam (500):
W - Grega Zemija (64), Thiemo de Bakker (123)
L - Julien Benneteau (39)
Australian Open (Slam):
W - Benoit Paire (46), N Davydenko (40), B Tomic (43), M Raonic (15), JW Tsonga (8)
L - A Murray (3)
To depict this differently, here is a list of every player he's played in order of their ranking at the time he played them, with losses in bold:
3 Murray
5 Nadal
6 Berdych
8 Tsonga
15 Raonic
16 Nishikori
18 Wawrinka
34 Granollers
39 Benneteau
40, 46 Davydenko
43 Istomin
43 Tomic
46 Paire
48 Stepanek
60 Dodig
64 Zemija
123 Bakker
128 Jaziri
To put all that another way, Roger's record against different ranking ranges:
#1-5: 0-2
#6-10: 1-1
#11-20: 2-1
#21-50: 7-1
#51+: 4-0
Now this isn't a huge sample size but what it leads me to believe is that at least in terms of 2013, Roger is no longer a top 5 player, and his "real" ranking is somewhere in the #6-10 range. Now this may change. Other than Julien Benneteau, who seems to wear "Federer kryptonite," Roger has beaten every player outside of the top 20 - so he's still safely a top 20 caliber player. But I'd really like to see him beat someone other than a coming-back-from-injury Tsonga to call him still an elite player.
You really have to go back to last November to see Federer defeat a true elite player, when he beat Andy Murray in the Word Tour Finals (but was defeated by both del Potro and Djokovic).
Right now Roger's ATP Race Ranking is at #10 - and the above record accurately reflects that. Roger has not played like a true elite player since 2012, and it remains to be seen whether he can recapture anything approach that level. Let us hope!