AO 2015 - odds for winning

[GameSetAndMath]

Current odds after 7 days of tourney are as follows:

Novak ----------- 5/4
Murray -------- 11/2
Rafa --------- 7
Man --------- 14
Samurai ------ 18

 

[GameSetAndMath]

Here are the new odds after Rafa's fall.


Novak Djokovic ----- 3/4
Andy Murray ------- 7/2
Tomas Berdych ------ 9
Kei Nishikori ------- 12
Stan Wawrinka ------ 16

 

[auto-pilot]

Gosh, Djokovic-Wawrinka would be a toss-up.
And Djokovic-Nishikori is a bit of a mystery.

 

[GameSetAndMath]

After the semifinals are set

Novak ----- 8/13
Murray ---- 19/5
Man ---- 9
Bird ---- 9

 

[auto-pilot]

If I had to bet my life on it I'd bet Wawrinka beats Djokovic.
No idea about the other semi.

 

[DarthFed]

^ I'd like to do some gambling with you

I'd say today is 80/20 Nole, he is a huge favorite, let's not kid ourselves.

 

[sid]

^ I'd like to do some gambling with you

I'd say today is 80/20 Nole, he is a huge favorite, let's not kid ourselves.

Hi Darth,Nole has to get past Stan first,could be a very hard match by other matches played of late.Odd's have to be with Murray,he's the one waiting for Stan or Nole.I know these guy's are super fit,but Andy also get's one more days rest.When the Final is played,whoever get in,i'm just going to enjoy it whoever wins.

 

[DarthFed]

^ I'd like to do some gambling with you

I'd say today is 80/20 Nole, he is a huge favorite, let's not kid ourselves.

Hi Darth,Nole has to get past Stan first,could be a very hard match by other matches played of late.Odd's have to be with Murray,he's the one waiting for Stan or Nole.I know these guy's are super fit,but Andy also get's one more days rest.When the Final is played,whoever get in,i'm just going to enjoy it whoever wins.

Hi Sid, just talking about tonight's match. Nole's odds are definitely less than 80% to beat Murray if he makes the final, so his odds to win the whole thing are a little overstated right now. I think the extra day off only helps if the match tonight is a long 5 setter which is possible.

 

[auto-pilot]

^ I'd like to do some gambling with you

I'd say today is 80/20 Nole, he is a huge favorite, let's not kid ourselves.

You an do what you want with yourself, but I'd never bet anything on Djokovic winning a big match.

 

[DarthFed]

^ but you'd bet on Stan because he's won so many more big matches than Djokovic (giggle)

 

[Front242]

^ I'd like to do some gambling with you

I'd say today is 80/20 Nole, he is a huge favorite, let's not kid ourselves.

You an do what you want with yourself, but I'd never bet anything on Djokovic winning a big match.

You obviously missed Wimbledon 2014 then.

 

[auto-pilot]

^ Yeah that made it ONE of SEVEN, and it was versus a guy (Federer) who has an even worse strike rate since 2010.
At least Wawrinka is undefeated in slam finals.
Wawrinka has only made TWO slam semis in his life, so his conversion rate is incredible.

 

[GameSetAndMath]

After one semifinal is over:

Novak ---- 4/6 about 60%
Murray --- 19/10 about 30%
Stan ---- 9 about 10%

 

[GameSetAndMath]

After both semifinals.

Novak 2/5
Murray 2

About 70% Novak and 30% Andy.