2016 Aus Open Early Poll/Draw Discussion

[kskate2]

Who will lift this beautifulpiece of hardware?

Defending Champion is Serena.

 

[tossip]

where is the draw...its hard to tell who will win...barring injury Iam putting my money on Rena.

 

[tossip]

this woman is obsessed with Serena...busy telling a 21 slam champion how to win..she should be telling Vika or pova how to beat Serena after losing a combined 35 times..
http://www.skysports.com/tennis/news/12110/10128770/serena-williams-must-cut-out-slow-starts-says-chris-evert
she is the type that consults psychics about Serena...#stalker

 

[sk310]

Im hoping Key's ranking tumbles after this week. She's got an inflated ranking based almost solely on slam points. She needs that tumble in the rankings to light a fire back under her to work harder in smaller tournaments.

 

[Hoergren]

Safarova should not be electable as she is not participating because of illness

lucie safarova ‏@luciesafarova 7. jan.

As an athlete I'm used to fight on court to win,today it's off court to get my health back.Sorry Ausie I miss you..

 

[kskate2]

Safarova should not be electable as she is not participating because of illness

lucie safarova ‏@luciesafarova 7. jan.

As an athlete I'm used to fight on court to win,today it's off court to get my health back.Sorry Ausie I miss you..

Thanks H. I will fix it promptly.

 

[kskate2]

where is the draw...its hard to tell who will win...barring injury Iam putting my money on Rena.

I think the draw will be out tomorrow morning at 11:30am AUS time.

 

[Hoergren]

Serenas section

Agas section

Garbines section

Simonas section

 

[tossip]

balanced draw,,,sharafamily must be bummed by this draw..

 

[GameSetAndMath]

Vika gets a straight forward draw finally. She should at least be able to reach R16 and meet Garbine (and possibly win that too). And if she does, she gets Kerber, another winnable match.
I predict vika to reach SF or better at this AO.

 

[tossip]

Vika gets a straight forward draw finally. She should at least be able to reach R16 and meet Garbine (and possibly win that too). And if she does, she gets Kerber, another winnable match.
I predict vika to reach SF or better at this AO.

Vika will not win AO16...just a hunch...a Brisbane winner never wins AO...she has peaked already.
I am picking Rena to defend...she will start slowly and pick up steam in the second week.

 

[tossip]

the vultures have already started circling around Serena...didnt know that Wim Fissette is an expert on a 21 slam champion.He couldnt coach his charge to a title in 2015 or a slam final or semi..
Serena has achieved a lot and if she retires today she has no reason to be ashamed..she won more slams in one year than Azarenka ever won in her career..Zenka has never beaten Serena at a slam after 20 tries..
this title is for Serena to lose...

 

[tossip]

Serena will blitz Giorgi..this girl played Venus last year and lost so the sisters know how she plays.
Serena has beaten her before so there wont be any surprises..
Serena in two...
go Rena go!
and why is she playing on the hottest part of the day...trying to derail our Queen.

 

[pavlik89]

[video=youtube]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6RMyQ_qeCGw[/video]

 

[Fefe26]

nice work pavlik.

 

[10isfan]

I think Sloane will get far with the help of her new coach. I saw him being interviewed and was impressed. Unlike Saviano, he seems to be a great coach.

Pova has the easiest path to the quarters. I fear she won't meet Serena there, and will make semi which I hope Aga will win.

 

[GameSetAndMath]

Here are my picks from QF onwards.

Caroline Wozniacki vs. Belinda Bencic
Aga Radwanska vs. Daria Gavrilova
Timea Bacsinszky vs. Victoria Azrenka
Karolina Pliskova vs. Ana Ivanovic

SF:

Belinda Bencic vs. Aga Radwanska
Victoria Azrenka vs. Ana Ivanovic

F:

Aga Radwanska vs. Victoria Azrenka

 

[tossip]

I think Sloane will get far with the help of her new coach. I saw him being interviewed and was impressed. Unlike Saviano, he seems to be a great coach.

Pova has the easiest path to the quarters. I fear she won't meet Serena there, and will make semi which I hope Aga will win.

you mean that Serena will not reach qtrs based on what..:snicker...and pova reaching the qtrs based on what....
Serena is going to slowly claw her way through the draw...1st week is about gaining form..this run is going to favor the 2007 run..an improbable run..Serena does well when the chips are down.
she will blitz Giorgi..she will sent a message today that the media is a liar.

 

[GameSetAndMath]

According to AO site, the following 11 players have 1% or more chance of winning AO.

PLAYER CHAMPION (% CHANCE) QF OR BETTER EXPECTED POINTS EXPECTED ELO RATING EXPECTED ELO GAIN
S. Williams 53.6 70.3 1304.6 2446.6 0.12
Sharapova 10.0 27.0 477.5 2251.7 -0.18
Azarenka 9.0 33.8 552.9 2208.1 -0.08
Halep 5.0 29.4 478.5 2132.2 0.16
Muguruza 3.8 20.8 374.9 2127.1 -0.20
V. Williams 2.7 20.1 339.4 2091.9 0.39
Kerber 2.6 19.4 333.3 2092.1 0.17
Radwanska 2.3 17.6 311.9 2089.8 -0.07
Kvitova 2.2 18.6 332.2 2068.7 -0.13
Bencic 1.8 8.4 210.3 2087.9 0.28
Ivanovic 1.0 11.1 244.5 2015.1 -0.07

 

[tossip]

the weather has a role on who wins because the heat can be difficult to handle....its a very dry heat thats unique south of the equator...