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First of all, I just checked out the live rankings with 2013 Roland Garros taken off and Novak is #1. I decided to play with the numbers a bit, depending upon how Novak and Rafa do.
Live Rankings (with 2013 RG taken off, but including the 10 pts for playing 2014 RG)
1. Novak 11400
2. Rafa 10510
(Novak +890)
Here's how their points match-up, round by round:
NOVAK/RAFA
2R 11175...10545
3R 11220...10590
4R 11310...10680
QF 11490...10860
SF 11850...11220
F 12330...11700
W 13130...12500
What this means...
For Rafa to be #1, he needs to either:
*Win Roland Garros (12500)
*Make it to the final (11700), with Novak losing in the QF (11490) or earlier
There's also an interesting--but very unlikely--possibility that they're tied, if Novak goes out in the 3R and Rafa in the SF.
The bottom line, though, is that not only does Novak has a very good chance of being #1 after Roland Garros, they're almost certainly going to be neck-and-neck going into the summer. If Novak wins, then he's going to have at least a 1430 point lead with mainly hard court tournaments remaining. Of course Rafa can make up a ton of points with a strong showing at Wimbledon as he has no points to defend versus Novak's 1200.
Should be exciting summer - maybe a bit of leap-frogging, no?
Live Rankings (with 2013 RG taken off, but including the 10 pts for playing 2014 RG)
1. Novak 11400
2. Rafa 10510
(Novak +890)
Here's how their points match-up, round by round:
NOVAK/RAFA
2R 11175...10545
3R 11220...10590
4R 11310...10680
QF 11490...10860
SF 11850...11220
F 12330...11700
W 13130...12500
What this means...
For Rafa to be #1, he needs to either:
*Win Roland Garros (12500)
*Make it to the final (11700), with Novak losing in the QF (11490) or earlier
There's also an interesting--but very unlikely--possibility that they're tied, if Novak goes out in the 3R and Rafa in the SF.
The bottom line, though, is that not only does Novak has a very good chance of being #1 after Roland Garros, they're almost certainly going to be neck-and-neck going into the summer. If Novak wins, then he's going to have at least a 1430 point lead with mainly hard court tournaments remaining. Of course Rafa can make up a ton of points with a strong showing at Wimbledon as he has no points to defend versus Novak's 1200.
Should be exciting summer - maybe a bit of leap-frogging, no?